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WEC 50 Predictions and Analysis

Dominick Cruz vs. Joseph Benavidez
The x-factor in this bout is the nasty guillotine choke of Benavidez.  If he can get ahold of that neck and go to town he can finish Cruz.  The more likely scenario, however, is the size and reach advantage of Cruz will be to much for the undersized Benavidez as it was in their first contest.  Cruz is a fantastic offensive wrestler and while Benavidez will probably be better equipped this time around he won’t be able to stop that shot all night long. I do think Cruz has the slightly better stand-up game as well, but Benavidez is more dynamic so it should be another WEC 5 round classic.
Dominick Cruz by Decision.

Shane Roller vs. Anthony Pettis
Unfortunately for “Showtime” Pettis this is just a horrible stylistic match-up in every sense. Roller is an elite wrestler and has adapted his game to MMA very smoothly. This is a man that absolutely clowned Takanori Gomi in a grappling match at the UFC Fan Expo. Grant it, that was straight grappling, but it still applies to MMA and Gomi is a better grappler than Pettis. It also has to be taken into account that Roller is a Marc Laimon trained fighter, so in-depth tape study and game planning will also be in Roller’s arsenal.  Obviously the level in striking sways in the way of Pettis in a similar way the grappling favors Roller, but Pettis will spend too much time on his back in this bout.  As you can tell I like Roller big in this bout. Roller by Submission.

Cub Swanson vs. Chad Mendes
Bad matchup for Cub Swanson as Mendes is the superior wrestler and frankly a better striker as well.  Mendes will be able to take this bout to the mat at will and play top game on his way to dominating decision.
Chad Mendes by Decision.

Scott Jorgensen vs. Brad Pickett
This is my favorite fight on the card, absolutely brilliant matchmaking by Sean Shelby here. As Brad Pickett showed at WEC 48 against MMA Scraps favorite Demetrious “Mighty Mouse” Johnson he has really improved his game since moving to ATT. That being said Jorgensen is just too much in every area of the game. I like Jorgensen to to get a thrilling decision in what we’ll be the fight of the night. Jorgensen by Decision.

Bart Palaszewski vs. Zack Micklewright
Palaszewski’s weakness is his defensive wrestling and Micklewright has just enough offensively to exploit it on his way to a fairly entertaining decision victory. Also Micklewright throws some crazy strikes and he can be effective with them, just all-around he’s the better striker as well. Zack Micklewright by Decision.