I’ll fully admit this: my predictions are typically pretty bad.
When it comes to laying down a “bet” on a fight, either I speak up and am wrong, or I say it in my head and am right.
I’d venture to guess that happens 80-percent of the time. When I put it on FightLine, it’s almost wrong 99-percent of the time.
So, take these predictions for what they are: nothing more than an educated guess at what might go down this evening at UFC 172.
Enjoy, and feel free to share your thoughts and predictions with me on Twitter at @DanaBecker. If you tweet me your main card picks correctly, I’ll give you a follow and some love with a “Tweet-out!”
Jon Jones vs. Glover Teixeira for the UFC light heavyweight championship
From the interviews he has done this week, I feel Jon Jones is 100-percent focused on Glover Teixeira. He sounds like a more focused fighter than he did vs. Alexander Gustafsson. Almost back to that Rashad Evans fight mode.
Jones has all the tools, and as long as he can avoid the power punch of Teixeira, he should have no issues putting him away earlier than the fifth.
“Bones” has taken good shots from stiff strikers, but none of them with the power of Teixeira. He’s got to mindful of that, and I think he will be.
Jon Jones def. Glover Teixeira via third round submission
Phil Davis vs. Anthony Johnson
Wow, have you seen Anthony Johnson? He is going to be a big light heavyweight. However, Phil Davis is equally as big and strong, and is typically one of the most in-shape fighters in MMA.
Look for Davis to wear down the returning “Rumble” and inch closer to a future title-eliminator himself.
Phil Davis via third round submission
Luke Rockhold vs. Tim Boetsch
These are two middleweights who are on the outside looking in among title contenders. Both Luke Rockhold and Tim Boetsch desperately need a strong performance against the other to get into that talk.
Rockhold is the more well-rounded fighter, but Boetsch has the better wins.
Luke Rockhold via unanimous decision
Jim Miller vs. Yancy Medeiros
This would have been a great bout, as Jim Miller vs. Bobby Green really could have stole the show. Yancy Medeiros is no Green, but a change of opponent could hurt Miller more than anything.
Still, being the veteran he is, Miller should lock up the win.
Jim Miller via second round TKO
Max Holloway vs. Andre Fili
These are two very good featherweights who, on paper, match up well with one another. We could be in for a great 15-minute contest.
Max Holloway has more Octagon experience, but I think Andre Fili is the better athlete. Look for him to showcase that.
Andre Fili def. Max Holloway via split decision
Here’s a quick look at how I feel the prelims will go:
Joseph Benavidez def. Tim Elliott via first round KO
Isaac Vallie-Flagg def. Takanori Gomi via split decision
Jessamyn Duke def. Bethe Correia via first round submission
Danny Castillo def. Charlie Brenneman via unanimous decision
Chris Beal def. Patrick Williams via first round TKO